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Poker Outs: How to Count Them and What They Are Worth

Poker outs are the unseen cards that turn your hand into the likely winner. To count them, take the cards that complete your hand and subtract those you can already see: a flush draw has 13 cards of its suit, 4 of them in view, so 9 outs. Count a card only once even if it completes two draws, and discount the outs that could still lose.

Count the outs of this draw

You defend the big blind with 9♣8♣ against the button. The flop comes K♥ 7♣ 2♣ and the button bets 25% of the pot. How many outs do you have, and is that enough to continue? Fold, call or raise?

See the answer

The outs. Four clubs are in view, 2 in your hand and 2 on the board: 13 − 4 = 9 outs for the flush. A 9 or an 8 pairs you, but that pair is not likely enough to be the best hand to count as an out.

The price. For every 100 in the pot, a bet of 25 makes it 125, and you call 25 for a final pot of 150: you need 16.7%.

The decision. Even counting the turn alone, 9 outs out of 47 unseen cards give 19.1%, already above the price, and the river is still to come. The expected answer is a call: the draw stays cheap and the button keeps its bluffs.

Outs and exact odds of common draws

DrawOutsFlop to riverTurn to river
flush draw935%19.6%
open-ended straight831.5%17.4%
two overcards624.1%13%
gutshot416.5%8.7%
flush + open-ended1554.1%32.6%

"Flop to river" is the chance to hit with two cards to come, out of 47 unseen cards; "turn to river" is the chance with one card to come, out of 46. Both are computed exactly by counting the cards. For a quick estimate at the table, the rule of 2 and 4 gets close.

Three counting mistakes

  1. Counting a card twice. With J♠T♠ on Q♠ 9♦ 2♠, the flush draw has 9 outs and the straight draw 8, but the K♠ and the 8♠ are in both counts: you have 15 outs, not 17.
  2. Counting outs that lose. With 9♣8♣ on K♥ 7♣ 2♣, a club gives you nothing against A♣Q♣, whose flush is bigger. When a bigger draw is likely, discount those outs.
  3. Counting pairs as outs. An overcard is an out only if the pair it makes is likely to be the best hand; against a strong range, it often is not.

From outs to a decision

Outs give your chance to hit, the core of a draw's equity; on their own they do not tell you whether to call. Compare that equity with the price of the call, the pot odds: if your chance to hit is higher than the equity the price requires, the call pays. When hitting also wins you chips on later streets, the implied odds let you call a little below the price.

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All of these reference numbers fit on one page in our poker cheat sheet.

Sources

Frequently asked questions

What is an out in poker?

An out is an unseen card that turns your hand into the likely winner. A flush draw has 9: the 13 cards of its suit minus the 4 you can see.

How many outs does an open-ended straight draw have?

Eight: four cards of each of the two ranks that complete it. A gutshot, which needs one rank only, has four.

Should I count an out that completes two draws twice?

No. A card that completes both your flush and your straight is one card: with a flush draw and an open-ended draw, you have 15 outs, not 17.

How do I turn outs into a percentage?

With one card to come, divide your outs by the unseen cards: once the turn is out, 9 outs give 9 ÷ 46 = 19.6% on the river. With two cards to come, use the table on this page, or the rule of 2 and 4 for a fast estimate.

How we made this page

The spots come from our library of 647 puzzles. Their expected answers follow rules we wrote and explain on each puzzle; they are not solver outputs. 16 figures on this page are recomputed from the cards by our automated tests. Written with the help of AI tools, then reviewed and checked by our team.

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