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Combo Draw: Exact Equity Against Top Pair, Overpair and Set

A combo draw is a flush draw and a straight draw in the same hand, usually 15 outs on the flop. That makes it a favorite against top pair: J♥T♥ on 9♥ 8♥ 2♣ has 68.9% against A♠9♠. Against an overpair it is close to a coin flip (49.4% to 56.3%), and against a set it is behind at 42.1%. After a blank turn, every figure loses roughly a third of its value, or more.

A combo draw facing a big turn bet

J♠T♠ on the button: on Q♠ 9♦ 4♣ then 2♠, you hold a flush draw and a straight draw at once, and the big blind leads for 125% of the pot. Fold, call or raise?

See the answer

Your combo draw. Flush draw plus open-ended straight draw: 15 outs with one card to come, 34.1% even against an overpair of aces.

The decision. The expected answer is to call: the bet requires a bit more than a third in equity, the draw is close to it, and the straights and flushes you hit win more on the river.

J♥T♥ against each made hand

Board 9♥ 8♥ 2♣; the turn is the K♦. Equity of J♥T♥ (flush draw + open-ended straight draw, 15 outs).

OpponentFlopTurn
A♠9♠, top pair68.9%47.7%
A♠A♦, overpair56.3%34.1%
Q♣Q♦, overpair holding two of the outs49.4%29.5%
2♠2♦, set42.1%29.5%

Other draws against top pair

Draw vs A♠9♠FlopTurn
7♥6♥, combo draw without overcards56.8%34.1%
A♥T♥, nut flush draw, shared ace48.4%27.3%

What the tables show

EffectExampleEquity
overcards add outs against top pairJ♥T♥ and 7♥6♥ vs A♠9♠68.9% and 56.8%
an overpair that holds your outsJ♥T♥ vs QQ instead of AA56.3% → 49.4%
a set can still fill upJ♥T♥ vs 2♠2♦42.1%
one card leftJ♥T♥ vs A♠9♠, flop then turn68.9% → 47.7%

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Sources

Frequently asked questions

What is a combo draw?

A hand that draws to two things at once, usually a flush and a straight: J♥T♥ on 9♥ 8♥ 2♣ has 15 outs, 9 hearts plus the sevens and queens that are not hearts.

Is a combo draw the favorite against top pair?

Often, yes: J♥T♥ has 68.9% against A♠9♠ on the flop, because its overcards are outs too. Without overcards, 7♥6♥ still has 56.8%.

What does a combo draw have against a set?

Less than half: 42.1% against a set of twos on the flop, because the set can still improve to a full house.

How we made this page

The spots come from our library of 647 puzzles. Their expected answers follow rules we wrote and explain on each puzzle; they are not solver outputs. 13 figures on this page are recomputed from the cards by our automated tests. Written with the help of AI tools, then reviewed and checked by our team.

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