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How to Play Overpairs: Ahead of Pairs, Behind Two Pair and Sets

To play overpairs well, know that an overpair beats every pair on the board as long as that pair does not improve, but loses to two pair and sets. On 9♠ 6♦ 2♣, A♣A♦ has 91.4% against A♥9♥ and 65.8% against 8♥7♥, but 25.5% against 9♥6♥ and 8.9% against 6♥6♠. Against two overcards like K♥Q♥, T♣T♦ has only 75.3%, A♣A♦ 96.9%.

A♥A♦ in the cutoff on Q♠ 9♠ 8♣

In the cutoff with A♥A♦, you opened to 2.5bb and the big blind called. The flop is Q♠ 9♠ 8♣ and the big blind checks. Check, bet 33%, bet 60% or overbet 130%?

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Against hands the big blind can hold on Q♠ 9♠ 8♣:

Opponent's handWhat it holdsA♥A♦'s equity
7♥7♦an underpair87.6%
K♥Q♦top pair80%
Q♥T♥top pair and a gutshot65.5%
A♠5♠nut flush draw62.3%
6♠5♠flush draw and gutshot52.7%
T♠7♠flush draw and open-ended straight draw44.2%
9♥8♥two pair26.3%
J♥T♦a straight3.3%

On this board, many of the big blind's hands have a draw: A♥A♦ is ahead of 7♥7♦, top pairs and single draws, barely ahead of 6♠5♠ and behind T♠7♠. Betting now makes those draws pay before the turn. The expected answer is the 60% bet.

Five overpairs on 9♠ 6♦ 2♣

OverpairAgainst A♥9♥ (top pair)Against K♥Q♥ (two overcards)Against 8♥7♥ (open-ended straight draw)Against 9♥6♥ (two pair)Against 6♥6♠ (a set)
A♣A♦91.4%96.9%65.8%25.5%8.9%
K♣K♦79.8%98.1%65.8%25.5%8.9%
Q♣Q♦79.8%85.7%65.8%25.5%8.9%
J♣J♦79.8%75.3%65.8%25.5%8.9%
T♣T♦79.8%75.3%76.2%27.1%10.5%

Against A♥9♥, A♣A♦ does even better because it blocks the aces. Against K♥Q♥, J♣J♦ and T♣T♦ have two overcards to fear. Against 8♥7♥, T♣T♦ removes tens that would make the straight and keeps more than the others.

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Sources

Frequently asked questions

Is an overpair ahead of top pair?

Yes, by a lot: on 9♠ 6♦ 2♣, A♣A♦ has 91.4% against A♥9♥ and K♣K♦ through T♣T♦ have 79.8%.

What is an overpair behind?

Two pair and sets: on 9♠ 6♦ 2♣, the five overpairs in the table have 25.5% to 27.1% against 9♥6♥ and 8.9% to 10.5% against 6♥6♠.

Should a small overpair fear overcards?

Yes: against K♥Q♥ on 9♠ 6♦ 2♣, J♣J♦ and T♣T♦ have only 75.3%, where A♣A♦ has 96.9% and K♣K♦ 98.1%.

How we made this page

The spots come from our library of 647 puzzles. Their expected answers follow rules we wrote and explain on each puzzle; they are not solver outputs. 40 figures on this page are recomputed from the cards by our automated tests. Written with the help of AI tools, then reviewed and checked by our team.

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