A♠Q♠ BTN vs BB, river on K♠ T♥ 7♠ 6♣ 2♠, 60 bb
The spot
- You: BTN
- Opponent: BB
- Your hand: A♠Q♠
- Board: K♠ T♥ 7♠ 6♣ 2♠
- Effective stack: 60 bb
- Pot: 11.5 bb
Hero can leverage blocker distribution for polarized pressure.
What action maximizes EV in this polarized node?
See the answer
Best play: Overbet 120% pot
Why
It is the river and hero holds the nut flush — A♠-high on the K♠ T♥ 7♠ 6♣ 2♠ board with three spades. After the BB checks this passive line, his capped range contains worse flushes, sets and two pair that will pay off but almost never the nuts, so the nut flush is never losing at showdown. Overbet 120% pot to extract maximum from those second-best value hands, with the size justified and balanced by the bluffs hero brings to this same overbet line.
Key idea
On the river, overbet the nuts against a capped range to charge the maximum from second-best value hands.
Common mistake
Checking back or making a small, timid bet with the nut flush, leaving heaps of value on the table against a range full of hands that would have called an overbet.