K♣T♣ SB vs BTN, river on J♠ 7♣ 4♦ T♦ 3♠, 100 bb
The spot
- You: SB
- Opponent: BTN
- Your hand: K♣T♣
- Board: J♠ 7♣ 4♦ T♦ 3♠
- Effective stack: 100 bb
- Pot: 24.5 bb
Hero faces a polar river action after capped turn line.
What line avoids overbluffing while preserving value?
See the answer
Best play: Bet 40% pot
Why
Final board J♠ 7♣ 4♦ T♦ 3♠ is rainbow-disconnected with no completed flush and only a clunky one-gap straight chance; the BTN's value is mostly Jx and overpairs while busted broadways and small pairs missed. Hero holds K♣T♣ — a pair of tens (second pair) with a king kicker, a thin made hand that beats 7x, busted air and worse tens. From OOP, leading small (40%) is a thin value lead that gets called by worse pairs and folds out the BTN's air without bloating the pot against the Jx that beats you.
Key idea
OOP with a thin made hand like second pair, a small value lead extracts from worse pairs and air while keeping the pot small against the hands that beat you.
Common mistake
Overbetting second pair as if it were the nuts, getting called only by better and folding out everything you beat.