K♠T♠ CO vs BB, river on Q♣ T♣ 7♥ 2♦ 2♣, 55 bb
The spot
- You: CO
- Opponent: BB
- Your hand: K♠T♠
- Board: Q♣ T♣ 7♥ 2♦ 2♣
- Effective stack: 55 bb
- Pot: 23 bb
River checks to hero after two-street sequence.
Best river decision in baseline?
See the answer
Best play: Bet 40% pot
Why
River on Q‑T‑7‑2‑2 with three clubs out: your K-spades-T-spades makes two pair, tens and deuces, with a king kicker. As CO in position you have been checked to, but this is a thin made hand that loses to every club flush and to Q-x while only beating busted draws and worse tens; overbetting 120 percent turns it into a bet that is called almost only by hands that beat you. A 40 percent bet or a check is the disciplined line, not an overbet.
Key idea
On a paired three-flush river, mid two pair is a bluff‑catcher, not an overbet-for-value hand.
Common mistake
Overbetting two pair when a flush and top-pair-better both get there, so only better hands call.