A♥J♥ BB vs BTN, turn on Q♠ 9♦ 4♣ 2♠, 80 bb
The spot
- You: BB
- Opponent: BTN
- Your hand: A♥J♥
- Board: Q♠ 9♦ 4♣ 2♠
- Effective stack: 80 bb
- Pot: 8.5 bb
Hero arrives on turn with equity and blocker leverage.
What action realizes the most EV in solver baseline?
See the answer
Best play: Raise
Why
The 2♠ turn on Q♠9♦4♣ is a blank, but A♥J♥ holds strong backdoor-driven equity: it is ace-high with a gutshot, since a Ten gives A‑K‑Q‑J‑T... in practice the King-Ten window means you carry overcard outs plus the nut blocker that the Ace gives you against value Qx and AQ. From out of position you can check‑raise as a semi-bluff: you block the BTN's strongest Queens and Aces, you have a backdoor flush and the broadway gutshot picking up, and the fold equity against his missed barrels plus the outs when called make raising more profitable than passively calling ace-high. The Ace also blocks his check-back-then-bet value, so pressure here folds out better hands and sets up barrels.
Key idea
Ace-high with the nut blocker, overcards, and backdoors out of position prefers a check‑raise semi-bluff over a passive ace-high call.
Common mistake
Passively calling with ace-high lets the in-position bettor barrel you off your overcard equity and wastes the nut-blocker fold equity.