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Polarized vs Merged Range: What a Medium Hand Beats

A polarized range holds very strong hands and bluffs, with almost nothing in between; a merged range (or linear range) goes from the best hands down to medium ones, with few or no bluffs. The difference matters to the caller: against a polarized range, a medium hand only beats the bluffs; against a merged range, it also beats the weaker medium hands.

A♠8♠ facing a river overbet

Heads-up, you are on the button with A♠8♠ and you bet the flop and the turn. Board A♦ J♣ 6♥ 3♠ 9♦, the big blind bets 150% pot on the river. Fold or call?

See the answer

Calling 150% pot needs 37.5% equity. Two example ranges of 7 combos, with the same bet size to compare, and how A♠8♠ does:

RangeHandsA♠8♠ beats
PolarizedA♥J♥, A♣9♣, 6♠6♣, 9♥9♣ (two pair, sets) + K♥Q♥, Q♠T♠, 5♦4♦ (missed draws)the 3 missed draws: 42.9%
MergedA♥J♥, 6♠6♣, 9♥9♣ + A♣5♣, K♦J♦, J♠T♠, Q♦9♠ (weaker pairs)the 4 weaker pairs: 57.1%

In both cases A♠8♠ clears the call's 37.5%, but for a different reason: against the polarized range, the bluffs pay for the call; against the merged range, the weaker pairs do. The expected answer is the call.

What a medium hand beats, by range

Shape of the rangeWhat it holdsWhat a calling medium hand beats
Polarizedvery strong hands + bluffsonly the bluffs
Merged (linear)best hands → medium handsthe weaker medium hands

Against a polarized range the question is "how many bluffs?"; against a merged range, "how many medium hands weaker than mine?".

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Frequently asked questions

What is a polarized range?

A range made of very strong hands and bluffs, with almost nothing in between: a medium hand that calls only beats the bluffs.

What is a merged (linear) range?

A range that goes from the best hands down to medium ones, with few or no bluffs: a medium hand that calls beats the weaker medium hands.

What does the shape of the range change for a river call?

In this page's example, against the same 150% pot bet, A♠8♠ wins 3 times out of 7 against a polarized range and 4 times out of 7 against a merged one.

How we made this page

The spots come from our library of 647 puzzles. Their expected answers follow rules we wrote and explain on each puzzle; they are not solver outputs. 3 figures on this page are recomputed from the cards by our automated tests. Written with the help of AI tools, then reviewed and checked by our team.

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